MPs expect sexism in the Bundestag a

Running again with Martin Schulz is actually forbidden. You just have to look at its popularity ratings. But who could take his place? I’m still unsure whether the people who might dare to do this – Nahles, Schwesig or Dreyer – would actually campaign for a candidate for chancellor.

Several SPD state associations have recently spoken out against a new edition of black and red. How great is the resistance within the party to this alliance?

Saxony-Anhalt or Thuringia have little weight within the party, you just have to look at the number of delegates. It will largely depend on how the strong regional associations of North Rhine-Westphalia and Bavaria vote. Lower Saxony is probably united by Martin Schulz, Prime Minister Weil says that at least very clearly. Bavaria has to contest state elections, so the voting behavior is questionable. And in NRW there is no uniform line. For me it is open what happens on Sunday because a party congress like this can develop its own momentum.

Results paper of the exploration of the Union and SPD for download

How would things go after the SPD said no?

The handle of the action is then again with Steinmeier. There is no deadline for such a case in the Basic Law, but of course he cannot let the whole thing drag on for weeks or months with an executive government. He will propose Merkel to the Bundestag as Chancellor in the foreseeable future. If she then misses an absolute majority in two votes and receives a simple majority in a third vote, he has the option of appointing Merkel as head of a minority government or calling new elections straight away.

Could a minority government work?

I think a minority government would only postpone new elections. I see Angela Merkel in such a way that she won’t let that go on for long. After a few weeks she will put the vote of confidence with the intention of losing, and then there will have to be new elections.

What about a cooperation coalition called for by the SPD left, which agrees on certain core projects and carries them out together, but leaves the coalitioners free to look for new majorities on other issues?

These are theoretical gimmicks that would never work in practice. I cannot be government and opposition at the same time. The left wing of the SPD imagines it this way: you agree on the things that suit you and try to set up a left majority with others. That would mean: a ruling party, together with opposition parties, organizes a majority against the government. Merkel would never go along with that.

Why not?

She has always said, and rightly so, that you need reliable majorities in government, both in domestic and foreign policy. Imagine that before every important foreign policy decision the discussion is reopened, whether one is for or against. That cannot make sense for such a large and internationally influential country as Germany.

Would the SPD do itself a favor with such a constellation?

No. Because people would ask themselves whether it is the ruling party or the opposition party. Sometimes the SPD wants this, sometimes it wants that. That can’t work.

Do you see people in the SPD who could benefit from a failure to form a government?

Anyone who hopes to run for chancellor. But the question is, is there currently someone who would be able and willing to run for office. Olaf Scholz was always said to do that. At the last party conference, however, he was shot across the bow. Frau Nahles might dare to do that. But I am not sure whether she would be the ideal candidate for Chancellor with her manner, which many people have to get used to.

And others like Dreyer and Schwesig?

… are probably still too unknown nationwide. You have to think about it: You would have to be made known to a large audience within a few weeks before new elections.argumentative essay on man and woman should have equal rights

Is there a silver bullet for the SPD?

It doesn’t exist anymore. The party only has the choice between plague and cholera. But I think it would be better for the party to join the grand coalition. She should then also stop constantly talking about the deficits and what she has not yet achieved and instead talk more about what has been achieved and what that means for her clientele.

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And what would a SPD’s no to black and red mean for Merkel?

That would not exactly consolidate their position in the party. It has not just been hit since the federal election. Your internal party critics will also get louder. Nevertheless, it makes no sense to speak of a Merkel twilight. Where is the alternative? I don’t see anyone in the party who would be willing and able to lead a coup against Merkel because she wants to run again in new elections. Your party would then have the better cards than the SPD, because it would not have failed to form a government.

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Political upheaval is imminent

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"Older people did not understand"MPs reckon with sexism in the Bundestag.